November 2014: Technology is moving off the desktop and on to the body. While technology already plays an essential role in our daily lives, new wearable technologies have the ability to take the relationship between people and technology even further. These emerging technologies could allow people to interact better with technology and, at the same time, enable more meaningful experiences by extending the reach of interpersonal and machine-to-person communication. The advantages of this new generation of wearables are many, e.g. they are hands-free, always-on, environmentally-aware, constantly connected, and attention-getting, there are also many drawbacks such as the constant urge to check the information the devices are providing. Even more important are the significant concerns regarding data privacy as well as moral, social and ethical issues.
Widely proclaimed as “the next new thing,” in reality, the wearable concept is nothing new.For centuries, human beings have adorned their bodies with gadgets, whether for utility or show or both. While it has existed for decades, the concept of “wearables” did not really take off before 2011 when Google developed its first prototype of what is now known as Google Glass.
Today, the next generation of wearable technologies encompasses a wide range of devices and products, e.g. wristbands, rings, glasses and watches, and chances are that in the not too distant future you will be able to buy, for instance, clothing and footwear that tells you the weather or sends you a message to remind you to work out. Wearables have the ability to give us far more control over our lives and in particular our health – but we need to be aware of the challenges.
NEW: Also see our slideshow presentation of Wearables: Fab, fashion or functional?
The rise or fall of wearable technology
Wearables are creating a buzz; they are on everybody’s lips from analysts to journalists, fashionistas, product evangelists and other people fascinated by this emerging technology. Despite the fact that many people clearly seem excited by the technology, wearables are getting mixed reviews and predictions. Some are very bullish while others think wearables have a short shelf-life. Wearable technology is, however, part of the larger wave of the ‘internet of things’, with a potential economic impact of up to US$6.2 trillion annually by 2025, according to McKinsey. (Source: Business Day)
Let’s take a look at just a few of the many estimates and predictions about the wearable industry:
- IDC estimates that in 2014 more than 19 million wearable computing devices will ship, triple the number of last year. By 2018, it predicts that shipments will increase to about 112 million.
- Juniper Research predicts that global, smart wearable device shipments will more than quadruple by 2017, reaching 116 million units, compared to an estimated 27 million this year.
- Forrester Research, on the other hand, thinks wearables are a short-term fashion. In a research report, it suggests that the interest in wearable devices will probably rise in 2015 but could decline as early as 2016. (Source: New York Times)
- NPD DisplaySearch predicts that the wearables market will increase to 91 million devices in 2015, up from 48 million in 2014. The consumer hype will then subside and the market will scale down significantly. However, sales could subsequently surge again when the devices catch on in China. (Source: New York Times)
Despite the mixed forecasts for the wearable market, the technology does look like a big trend right now. However the jury is still out to whether it will be a passing fad or a mega hit.
Are wearables as fabulous as they sound or is it just a fad?
Wearables are, in so many ways, an appealing concept. Wearing a device on your body that can be constantly connected to provide immediate access to whatever information you need anytime, anywhere sounds attractive to many people but it has a potential downside.Moral, social and ethical questions need to be considered before such devices become common household items. The issue: Wearables have the potential to perpetuate (via images), track and register every little movement and health condition of the human body, in private as well as in public spaces. With the amount of data wearables can potentially gather, e.g. personal, behavioral and medical content, it will be even more important to address the issue of data security and privacy in the future.
If the thought of wearables sounds so cool, then why are we waiting for the technology to really take off? One reason could be that the technology still needs to integrate with fashion and design. The companies manufacturing these gadgets have a challenge in making them look attractive, as well as delivering all the cool functionality that consumers crave. For wearables to be found in every home requires consumer-friendly designs that are fashionable, portable, convenient, and safe.
Data privacy and protection: When mobile technology suddenly took off the risk of data security and the assault on privacy of constant data-sharing and interaction was overlooked, leading to many concerns and legal battles. For wearables to catch on, it is critical that the potential risk of constant data-sharing is addressed and regulated. In August 2014, for instance, a U.S. Senator issued a press release calling on the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) to push fitness device and app companies to provide users with a clear opportunity to “opt-out” before any personal health data is provided to third parties. His concern: Sensitive and private health information – may potentially be sold to third parties, such as employers, insurance providers, and other companies, without the users’ knowledge or consent (Source: Global Regulatory Enforcementl Law Blog)
What’s the fashion industry doing with wearables? The biggest topic in wearables over the past year has been the need for technology to intersect with fashion. Essentially there is a need to put the “wear” into wearables, as often the technology is not attractive to the fashionable crowd. Today, an increasing number of tech companies and fashion designers/brands are collaborating to make wearables attractive to consumers who want fashionable accessories, shoes, and clothing. For example:
- Google Glass is working with Luxottica (which makes Oakley and Ray-Bans). It has also teamed up with designer Diane von Furstenberg to launch a line called “DVF | Made for Glass” that features five frame style in eight shades, sold by Google and Net-a-Porter. (Source: Washington Post)
- Fitbit, the fitness tracker maker, is collaborating with the luxury brand Tory Burch’s jewelry line resulting in an elegant brass pendant and bracelet as well as patterned silicone wristbands perfect for everyday style. (Source: Washington Post)
- Fashion retailer Ralph Lauren has partnered with OMsignal to launch a new apparel collection that will feature sensors knitted into the core of the product to read biological and physiological information. Recently, Ralph Lauren debuted a smart shirt at the U.S. Open Tennis Championships that has the ability to gauge a number of physical aspects by linking to a smartphone or other capable device. (Source: Biometricupdate.com)
- Check out these links to a few fashionable wearables and haute tech trends in wearable fashion.
Could this be the start of a whole new era of fashionable smart clothing and accessories?
From fashion to functionalilty
While most of the wearable hype remains centered on Google Glass, Apple Watch and a selection of fitness trackers, the reality is that wearables are much more than that. Activity in the space ranges from consumers and startups, to established tech companies and venture capitalists, to retailers, fashion designers, and consumer-goods players. New technologies, such as wireless charging, bendable displays, more robust sensors, and big data-style alerts will drive the market far beyond what we see today and make a significant contribution to the quality of our lives. (Source: Entrepreneur).
Yet, how can wearable technology cross over from being a fashion accessory for gadget lovers to become a functioning part of people’s everyday lives? Are wearables even practical? Are they functional enough to make an impact and create value for customers, consumers, and companies? Let’s have a look at some of the industries where wearables are starting to make their mark.
Wearables as a crime-fighting tool:
- The police force in Queensland, Australia uses a hand-held scanner that can virtually map a 3D crime scene in only twenty minutes. The police commissioner says, that this device saves police “thousands of hours of investigation,” leading to faster capture of criminals. (Source: examiner.com)
- Google Glass will be issued to detectives of the Dubai police force so that they can utilize the device’s facial recognition technology. The American police force has shown interest in using Google Glass as a crime-fighting tool as well. (Source: International Business Times)
- In the Chicago area new police gear is popping up, from body-worn cameras at the Lake County Jail to Taser cams carried by state police troopers. (Source: abc7)
Financial services made easy:
- Spain’s Banco Sabadell has created a banking app for Google Glass that displays the nearest ATM, allows the viewing of accounts and supports 24/7 video conferencing. Other players are tweaking their mobile banking apps for smart watches. (Source: Bank Innovation) Caixa Bank is going even further launching a contactless payment wristband.
- A number of financial institutions, technology vendors, and app developers such as Barclays, U.S. Bank, Wells Fargo, Fiserv, and PayPal are experimenting with wearables such as Google Glass and smartwatches to understand their potential to deliver financial alerts, serve up relevant marketing offers, pay for goods and services, and give consumers greater digital control over their finances. (Source: InformationWeek)
Retail – The connected store:
- Disney has already replaced its ticketing system with an RFID armband or “MagicBand.” It connects park entrance tickets with hotel room keys and credit card information. This system removes the strain on employees for manually processing tickets and managing logistics. (Source: Tech Page One)
- PayPal is launching a new app for the Samsung Gear 2 Smartwatch that will make it possible for consumers to easily pay for products and services right from their wristwatch. Retail employees will be able to accept PayPal payments with the press of a button. (Source: Forbes)
- Click here to watch a video showing how a customer could create a shopping list by using Google Glass and then actually do their shopping using the list they created.
Transforming workplaces:
- The Container Store in the US is piloting a wearables device that it hopes will replace walkie-talkies for in-store communication. It also lets the company track employees when at work, among other things, and could potentially revolutionize the way it uses technology for retail. (Source: CIO)
- Service technicians on top of a wind turbine are testing smartglasses to access work orders and take photos while keeping their hands free. In potentially dangerous areas like construction sites, smartwatches are being tested to monitor heart rates and provide safety and location-based alerts. (Source: Informationweek)
- After equipping their Upper Class Wing check-in staff at Heathrow Airport with a variety of devices on a two-month trial basis – including smartwatches, heads-up displays, and traditional handhelds – Virgin Atlantic concluded that Google Glass enabled their employees to provide the best service to its premium customers. (Source: Fast Company)
Healthcare – improving lives through wearables:
- Researchers in the UK are working on a wearable device called the Endotheliometer. It is designed to measure one’s overall health and could potentially be used as a routine diagnostic tool. It looks like a wristwatch and is designed to measure activity within the endothelium that can be indicative of the overall state of the body. The condition of the endothelium declines as people age, so the device can potentially be used to monitor one’s mortality, aging and illness. (Source: PSFK)
- Informationweek
- For children with asthma, too young to effectively monitor their own symptoms or to manage their own medication, ADAM is developing a wearable technology that can monitor a child’s breathing throughout the day and share that data with both the physician and the parents. The same type of wearable device could be used to helppeople manage diabetes, assistcaretakers in monitoring Alzheimer’s patients, or even to replace the traditional baby monitor. (Source: Democrat and Chronicle)
- Microsoft has now jumped on the bandwagon to take on Apple, Google, Fitbit and all the other wearable health bands, with its own Microsoft Band, part of an ambitious multi-platform system for compiling and analyzing the world’s health data.
What’s next? Are wearables a step towards technological singularity?
Intelligent wearables and ubiquitous computing could be the first step towards technological singularity. In his book, The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil defines the term technological singularity as: “… a future period during which the pace of technological change will be so rapid, its impact so deep, that human life will be irreversibly transformed. Although neither utopian nor dystopian, this epoch will transform the concepts that we rely on to give meaning to our lives, from our business models to the cycle of human life, including death itself.”
Some people believe that wearables are just a step towards something better and bigger. For now wearables are something that can be put on or taken off. In the future implantable, microscopic sensor technology will be integrated into the human body. Such invisible technologies that could potentially turn our bodies into computers are already starting to be used. Ultimately, these technological advances may allow us to enhance human capacities and intelligence to deal with radical change and complexity, through new human-machine interfaces, which will dramatically impact how we live and work in future.
Trends happening right now leading us towards the singularity
Biohacking: Around the world people are inserting magnets and microchips into their bodies to gain an extra layer of experience in the world around us and explore the possibilities of being part human, part machine. The Biohacking or Grinder movement is a group of “underground” transhumanists that design and install do-it-yourself body-enhancements such as magnetic implants as well as do-it-yourself biologists who conduct at-home gene sequencing. Check out the video Biohackers: A journey into cyborg America to gain more insight into the world of DIY biohacking. (Source: Wearable World)
Microchips: Recently the American broadcast company NBC estimated that by 2017 all Americans will have an RFID chip implanted under their skin to help identify individuals immediately. A microchip implant is much like the one pet owners use to track their pet. Although experts are divided on the issue, the implant could be beneficial in some situations, e.g. for soldiers and journalists in war zones where an implant could be the difference between life and death. Another example is that an implant tracker could help law enforcement quickly locate a kidnapped child. Perhaps it will also be possible to pay for things with the swipe of our RFID implanted wrists one day? (Sources: Wearable World, Fox News) The big question: Do we want Big Brother to constantly watching us?
Cyborgs: A cyborg is a human being with both organic and biomechatronic parts. The innovation that’s happening in prosthetics alone means we are already mixing in a society with many cyborgs. One example of cyborgs is the artist Neil Harbisson who was born with achromatopsia, or extreme colorblindness that meant he could only see in black-and-white. He is now capable of experiencing colors beyond the scope of normal human perception after having a specialized electronic eye, or eyeborg, which renders perceived colors as sounds on the musical scale implanted. Another example is the 29-year-old Sarah Churman who was born deaf but is now able to hear because of an implant. (Source: Wearable World)
Check out this link for 9 real wearable technologies that will soon be inside you.
In December: Look out for 10 Key Trends to Watch for 2015